Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.424176 0.501498 0.587665 0.690628 0.810131 0.944269 1.106055
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.335507 0.438284 0.563496 0.726566 0.932565 1.183310 1.510743
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.291970 0.417236 0.582480 0.814666 1.130442 1.542563 2.118377
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.232956 0.363151 0.548551 0.828571 1.236763 1.805174 2.650392
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.197095 0.333221 0.541299 0.877087 1.398368 2.167764 3.377069
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.166451 0.304138 0.529256 0.915908 1.552405 2.543728 4.183044
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.136822 0.269696 0.501600 0.924494 1.660624 2.866782 4.958596
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.113583 0.240812 0.477137 0.933219 1.769792 3.206753 5.810879
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.099409 0.225513 0.473598 0.977850 1.947775 3.686109 6.962868
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.094169 0.226932 0.501789 1.086571 2.259133 4.439711 8.692370
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.083156 0.213277 0.497126 1.129797 2.452827 5.006263 10.158422
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.069670 0.190523 0.468637 1.118518 2.536375 5.376546 11.305034
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.055711 0.163298 0.425528 1.069973 2.540528 5.603896 12.229534
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045185 0.141777 0.390776 1.033289 2.564039 5.874216 13.279288
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040961 0.136270 0.394004 1.087146 2.799622 6.620554 15.412086
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033759 0.119922 0.365670 1.057517 2.836424 6.943751 16.688010
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029844 0.112414 0.359324 1.083085 3.010372 7.595130 18.765140
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026334 0.105112 0.351890 1.104360 3.177409 8.253237 20.940250
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022501 0.095402 0.335028 1.095955 3.266531 8.739565 22.779185
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019398 0.087249 0.320951 1.092733 3.369076 9.272200 24.794047
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017704 0.083926 0.321658 1.134315 3.602396 10.161330 27.781992
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.017605 0.087081 0.344931 1.251033 4.067817 11.700257 32.556392
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016113 0.083833 0.345259 1.294310 4.326416 12.731036 36.156874